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SV Elversberg vs Ein Frankfurt

Tue 12 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTC · Round 16 · Data confidence: Low (promoted/new team)

Match Result (1X2)

SV Elversberg win: 40.6%

Draw: 25.9%

Ein Frankfurt win: 33.5%

Predicted: SV Elversberg

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 56.4%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 53.1%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.34

More corners: Ein Frankfurt (37.3% home / 62.7% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Ein Frankfurt

Yes

Probability Ein Frankfurt wins or draws: 61.1%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result No strong lean Outcomes are close together -- the model doesn't see a clear favourite. (41.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (56.0% model probability) High

Corners Ein Frankfurt (more corners) (63.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Ein Frankfurt win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (61.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.